Methodological
annex
Introduction
The figures included in this report are the result
of IDMC’s most ambitious effort yet to present
our estimates as transparently as possible. We
have also attempted to apply more methodological consistency to our data collection and
analysis, and to document this process for our
readers. These improvements have helped bring
our reporting on displacement associated with
disasters and that associated with conflict and
violence together in one report. They have also
enabled us to make more rigorous comparisons
between different displacement situations and
get more out of our source data.
The evidence presented represents a baseline, and
indicates many areas in which we will need to
improve our data gathering and analysis in order to
paint a comprehensive picture of internal displacement. This section highlights some of the main
challenges we face and illustrates the most significant caveats to which we call readers’ attention.
Our data on displacement associated with disasters for 2016 covers 591 displacement events
triggered by sudden-onset natural hazards in
118 countries and territories. We are still in
the process of developing and extending our
approach to monitoring displacement associated
with drought and other slow-onset phenomena,
which means we do not yet have global figures
for such disasters (see part 3).
Our data on displacement associated with
conflict and violence covers 55 countries and one
disputed territory. We have data on several other
countries, but we chose not to include it in our
global figures for methodological consistency.
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2017
As we did last year, as part of our innovative
methodology we are also providing our assessment of confidence in the primary data and
what it means for the estimates concerned. The
confidence assessments signal our commitment
to transparency while providing a roadmap for
future work to strengthen data collection, something we are committed to helping our partners
achieve over the coming years.
This annex describes how we produce our
displacement figures by explaining the source
data, calculations, definitions and decision rules
we use in our analysis. Our aim is to provide
maximum transparency so that readers understand the process, can replicate our work independently and make use of our data in innovative
ways. We will make our data publicly available
on our website for others to use freely.
We are also using innovative ways of allowing
policymakers, researchers, partners, the media
and the public to interact with our data via an
open portal, making it easier to produce customised reports and analyses.
Given the complexity of displacement, we are
forced to rely on a variety of internal and external
sources in compiling our estimates. We have reassessed some of the criteria we use to maximise
the reliability and accuracy of source data, and
this report presents our figures in a way that
clearly indicates how recently it was updated.
We currently use two similar but distinct methodologies to produce displacement estimates
related to conflict and violence, and disasters.
This annex describes both approaches.
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