The small number of cross-border displacements that were identified appears to support
the assumption that while numbers may in some
cases be significant, they are relatively small
compared with those for people displaced internally. Factors that drive people to cross borders
include the extent of the damage wrought by
a disaster, poor access to basic services and
recovery assistance and the proximity and
porosity of the nearest borders.
The severe food crisis or famine brought on by
recurrent drought against a backdrop of poverty
and insecurity in some parts of the Horn of Africa
illustrate both the importance of understanding
that cross-border displacement can be key to the
survival and resilience of vulnerable populations,
and the limited nature of the data and information available. This is discussed further in the
spotlight on South Sudan.
Even when cross-border disaster displacement is
monitored or quantified, common frameworks
and methodologies for doing so are lacking.
People who flee beyond their own countries for
reasons other than conflict, generalised violence
or persecution do not fit the legal definition of a
refugee or asylum seeker. The fact that someone
displaced across a border by a disaster does not
exist as a legal category makes it less likely that
they will be systematically recorded or identifiable in official data and statistics.
As with other types of displacement, nor are
there any universally recognised criteria to determine whether a person’s flight across a border
as a result of disaster should be characterised as
forced or voluntary. For the purpose of providing
protection and assistance, the Nansen Initiative
suggests criteria that include the directness and
seriousness of a disaster’s impact on the person
in question, and their pre-existing vulnerabilities.
It also suggests benchmarks that consider solidarity with an affected country temporarily
unable to assist and protect all of those in need,
whether international humanitarian access is
possible or not, and the extent of the people’s
ties with family or diaspora communities in the
destination country.171 An alternative approach
might be to consider whether obliging people
to return would be realistic, legal or morally
responsible.172
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Before any such criteria can be applied and priority
given to those in greatest need, the systematic
collection and sharing of data must overcome
conceptual, technical and political obstacles to
monitoring and reporting.173 Addressing data and
knowledge gaps is the first of three priorities
identified in the Nansen Initiative’s protection
agenda for people displaced across borders in the
context of disasters and climate change. This is
reflected in the 2016 to 2019 work plan for the
Platform on Disaster Displacement, a state-led
multi-stakeholder initiative taking forward the
agenda’s implementation.174
In support of the protection agenda and work
plan, and in order to better quantify and understand displacement associated with disasters,
IDMC is gradually broadening the scope of its
global monitoring to capture data and build
knowledge about both internal and crossborder flows. Its work also supports the agenda’s
comprehensive approach, which recognises the
need “to reduce vulnerability and build resilience
to disaster displacement risk, facilitate migration
out of hazardous areas, conduct planned relocation and respond to the needs of internally
displaced persons.”175