STANFORD JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL LAW
132
I.
IN TRO D U C T IO N ..................................................................................................
II.
DEFINING THE SINKING STATE..........................................................................
III. THE CASCADING CONSEQUENCES OF SINKING STATES ....................................
A.
B.
C.
D.
Redefining Statehood ..................................................................................
Undermining Sovereign Equality of States .................................................
Humanitarian Crisis .....................................................................................
Collapse of the International Legal Order ..................................................
59:2
132
135
140
146
154
158
167
IV.CRACKS IN THE FOUNDATION ........................................................................... 170
A. The State-Centric Model ............................................................................. 171
B. Retrenchment from Lawmaking .................................................................. 181
C. Addressing the Cracks ................................................................................. 183
V. CONCLUSION .....................................................................................................
I.
185
INTRODUCTION
In November of 2021, the Foreign Minister of Tuvalu, Simon Kofe, ad-
dressed the United Nations COP26 climate conference in Glasgow via a pre-recorded
video.' He stood in front of a blue screen at a lectern in a suit, flanked by the flags of
the conference host, Great Britain, and the United Nations. The shot widened to reveal that he was standing in water with waves crashing around his legs.2
Standing on the outskirts of the nation's capital where land had disappeared
under the sea,3 Foreign Minister Kofe described the threat that Tuvalu faces due to
sea level rise. For Tuvalu and three other atoll states-Kiribati, the Maldives, and the
Marshall Islands-the threat is nothing short of existential.4 While many places
around the world are only starting to feel the impact of climate change through rising
temperatures, heat waves, and extreme weather, these four states are already
' Tuvalu Minister to Address Cop26 Knee Deep in Water to Highlight Climate Crisis and Sea
Level Rise, GUARDIAN (Nov. 8, 2021), https://perma.cc/NVG9-T6H7.
2
'We are Sinking': Tuvalu Minister Gives Cop26 Speech Standing Knee Deep in Seawater-
Video, GUARDIAN (Nov. 9, 2021), https://perma.cc/BCU2-39MC.
3 Forty percent of the central district of Funafuti is below sea level at high tide. Hon. Kausea
Natano, Tuvalu Prime Minister, Tuvalu National Statement for the World Leaders Summit (Nov. 2, 2021)
(transcript available at https://perma.cc/PZX5-B9PV).
4 Tuvalu, Kiribati, the Maldives, and the Marshall Islands are four states most at risk of becoming
completely submerged by sea level rise. ALEJANDRA TORRES CAMPRUBI, STATEHOOD UNDER WATER:
CHALLENGES OF SEA-LEVEL RISE TO THE CONTINUITY OF PACIFIC ISLAND STATES 103 (2016). Tuvalu
has a land area of thirty square kilometers and its maximum height above sea level is five meters. Tuvalu
SPCMember Map, PAC. CMTY. (Aug. 9, 2022, 4:25 PM), https://perma.cc/JQY5-3PWE [hereinafter Tuvalu Map]. The Marshall Islands has a land area of 180 square kilometers with a maximum height above
sea level of 10 meters. Marshall Islands SPC Member Map, PAC. CMTY. (Aug. 9, 2022, 4:28 PM),
https://perma.cc/WFY9-Y3WL [hereinafter MarshallIslands Map]. The highest point in the Maldives is
less than three meters above sea level, the "lowest highest point . . . in the world." Ken Jennings, Maphead: Ken Jennings Finds the World's Lowest Highest Point, TRAVELER (May 14, 2012),
https://perma.cc/M8Z7-LF3C; Andrew Evans, Climbing the Highest Point in the Maldives, NAT'L
GEOGRAPHIC (Nov. 5, 2013), https://perma.cc/9G9Q-MTAT.
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4321214