The process of depopulation of small island states is already occurring and is likely to
continue over time, with increased voluntary migration and forced relocation becoming
increasingly more prevalent.92 While a number of more recent movements and relocations
have been linked with climate change, there appear to be usually multiple causes including
economic, social, geological and other environmental factors, with the impact of climate
change acting as a culmination point.93 Although some may see migration as a positive
adaptation to individual circumstances, others raise questions as to the effect of such
migratory flows on the future viability of small island states.94 In any case, as long as small
island States remain at least partially habitable, internal migration and relocation are likely to
overshadow significantly any external movements.
Nonetheless, the potential humanitarian consequences of climate change are beginning to
receive attention at the international level. Climate-induced displacement has been examined
by the Special Representative of the Secretary-General on the human rights of internally
displaced persons and the Task Force on climate change of the Inter-Agency Standing
Committee (IASC). In 2009, UNHCR issued a paper entitled ‘Climate change, natural
disasters and human displacement: A UNHCR perspective’.95 Supported by the International
Organization for Migration (IOM) and the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC), UNHCR
also submitted a paper entitled ‘Climate Change and Statelessness: An Overview’ to the Ad
Hoc Working Group on Long-Term Cooperative Action under the UN Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).96
The involvement of the international community is important because if the whole
population and the State’s government were to be compelled to move abroad, the latter’s
powers will be considerably restricted. Lack of funds could prove an important obstacle in
practice. Although the governments concerned could potentially continue to claim some
income from agreements with other States on fishing rights, the impact of the loss of land
territory on the size of the territorial seas and the exclusive economic zone,97 as well as the
92
Many factors may influence migration decisions, including where they relate to the environment, and the
time at which particular individuals feel compelled to move is likely to differ considerably. See United Nations
University - Institute for Environment and Human Security, ‘Human security, climate change and
environmentally induced migration’, 30 June 2008, available online at: http://www.ehs.unu.edu/file/get/4033
(last accessed 25 January 2011). See also Mortreux and Barnett, note 11 above; and Gemenne and Shen,
‘Tuvalu and New Zealand: Case study report’, note 11 above.
93
See for example M. Loughry and J. McAdam, ‘We aren’t refugees’, Inside story, 29 June 2009, available
online at: http://inside.org.au/we-arent-refugees/ (last accessed 25 January 2011).
94
Indeed, concerns have been raised that attention and resources that could be devoted to adaptation on small
island States could be diverted towards migration options and possibly increase migration outflows from small
island States at a time when skills and resources are needed to ensure appropriate and sustainable adaptation
measures; see for example Mortreux and Barnett, note 11 above, 105-106; Barnett and Adger, note 4 above;
Gemenne and Shen, ‘Tuvalu and New Zealand: Case study report’, note 11 above, which highlights the danger
of undermining sustainable use of current resources, 17. The same report also notes that for this reason, the
Prime Minister of Tuvalu had requested that the migration quota established for Tuvalu by New Zealand under
the Pacific Access Category be reduced from 300 to 75, ibid, 17.
95
UNHCR, ‘Climate change, natural disasters and human displacement: a UNHCR perspective’, 14 August
2009, available online at http://www.unhcr.org/4901e81a4.pdf (last accessed 25 January 2011).
96
UNHCR, ‘Climate Change and Statelessness: An Overview’, 15 May 2009, available online at:
http://www.unhcr.org/refworld/docid/4a2d189d3.html (last accessed 25 January 2011).
97
As noted earlier, Art. 47 UNCLOS provides for the determination of baselines which are based on the
outermost islands and drying reefs. Should those islands or reefs be submerged, this would presumably affect
baselines. Art. 121(3) further provides that ‘[r]ocks which cannot sustain human habitation or economic life of
their own shall have no exclusive economic zone or continental shelf.’ No definition is given of rocks or how
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