EVALUATION OF UNHCR-LED INITIATIVES TO END STATELESSNESS – FINAL REPORT – VOLUME I 99. Reporting on the indicator “% of stateless persons for whom nationality granted or confirmed” illustrates the data quality and target setting challenges identified by the evaluation. Within the underlying data the reported total number of stateless persons (denominator) does not correspond to the number of stateless persons reported in the annual Global Trends Report. Table 8 shows a comparison between the statelessness population statistics in the Global Trends Report and those recorded for calculating results under this indicator. It is understandable that some operations use higher figures than the official estimates, given known problems with official statistics. Yet, in other places UNHCR has recorded a much lower number of stateless persons than is officially reported (colored red in Table 8). This could suggest data entry errors, lack of clarity on how to apply target setting guidance, issues with the inclusion (and definition) of persons undetermined nationality or at-risk of statelessness, or possibly efforts to set more achievable targets. Table 8 – Discrepancies between official PoC statistics and those used for indicator reporting67 Year Data source Cameroon 2017 stateless PoC Global Trends Report 2018 stateless PoC Focus - Indicator nationality granted68 Global Trends Report 2019 stateless PoC Focus - Indicator nationality granted Global Trends Report Focus - Indicator nationality granted - 60,000 - not reported - not reported Cote d'Ivoire 692,000 50 692,000 345,000 955,399 5,000 Iraq 47,630 500 47,515 not reported 47,253 23,625 Kenya 18,500 10,000 18,500 10,000 18,500 not reported Kyrgyzstan 855 6,526 548 6,854 58 not reported Malaysia 10,068 6,197 9,631 5,206 108,332 6,538 Philippines 2,678 4,373 1,068 4,373 383 4,373 - 175,000 - 175,000 - 175,000 10,500 14,767 4,616 17,210 7,151 6,076 Sudan Tajikistan Relevance and appropriateness Finding 7: Most UNHCR-led statelessness initiatives have been highly relevant and appropriate, taking into account key drivers of statelessness and contextual factors. 100. Section 4.2 described the key drivers of statelessness globally. While different key drivers of statelessness can overlap, and there is no data source to objectively measure the correlation between specific drivers and the related number of cases of statelessness, evidence from key informants, survey responses and document review suggest that UNHCR statelessness initiatives are relevant and appropriate (with more evidence collected for countries covered by case studies). The survey asked respondents to identify the main drivers of statelessness in their country. Weighted analysis of the results shows that the most frequently cited driver was lack of birth registration, followed in declining order by lack of nationality documentation, other administrative barriers and costs, children born to stateless parents, forced displacement, and migration. Figure 12 shows the most frequently cited drivers by region (N = 363 UNHCR staff). 67 68 30 According to the Global Trends Report, data reported with a dash (« -« ) indicates that the value is zero, not available, or not applicable. Data extracted for 2017, 2018, and 2019 from Focus using the reported “denominators” in Indicator Aggregation Report UNHCR / May, 2021

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