these partners will help us to identify events that
have the potential to trigger displacement by
issuing a humanitarian alert.
Methodological challenges
particular to displacement by
disasters
The 2017 GRID presents our latest findings on
new displacement associated with disasters in
2016, and compares it with our historical dataset
for 2008 to 2016.
Taxonomic considerations
To better understand the complexities of the
phenomena, we plan to break disasters down
into various stages and differentiating between
their primary, secondary and subsequent triggers.
The 2017 GRID dataset presents figures for
displacement associated with sudden-onset
hazards, but in future reports we intend to
include that associated with slow-onset hazards
such as drought. We developed a model-based
methodology in 2014, which we used to monitor
the displacement of pastoralists in the Horn of
Africa during the 2010 to 2011 drought, and we
started to collect data on slow-onset hazards in
2015 and continued to do so in 2016.
Temporal coverage
The 2017 GRID estimates are based on new
displacement known to have taken place as
a result of disasters for which natural hazards
have been identified as the primary trigger. In
part 1, we highlighted a number of displacement situations for which it is nearly impossible
to identify a single cause or trigger. When available, we use the internationally acknowledged
name of hazards and categorise them initially into
four main types: geophysical, meteorological,
hydrological and climatological. These are then
refined into types, sub-types and sub-sub-types
(see table A.8).
Our dataset records incidents of displacement
that occurred in 2016 and are supported by a
reliable and comprehensive source. The main
challenge we faced in collecting data for the
year were overlapping events, such the floods
and landslides that occurred in Peru and which
we did not include in our estimates because the
government provided only an aggregated figure
for multiple separate displacements. We have
similarly omitted aggregated figures provided
by the government of China when we could not
trace them back to a specific event.
Table A.8: Taxonomy of natural hazards*
Hazard
category
Type
Sub-type
Sub-sub-type
Geophysical
Ear thquakes,
mass move ments, volcanic
activity
Ground shaking, tsunamis, sudden subsidence, sinkholes, landslides, rockfalls, ashfalls, lahars,
pyroclastic flows, lava flows, toxic
gases, glacial lake outburst flows
(GLOF), volcanic eruptions
Meteorological
Sto r m s , e xtreme temperatures
Extra-tropical storms, tropical
storms including hurricanes and
cyclones, convective storms, cold
waves, heatwaves, severe winter
conditions
Hydrological
Flooding, landslides, wave action
Coastal floods, riverine floods,
flash floods, ice jam floods, avalanches – snow, debris, mudflows,
rockfalls – rogue waves, seiches
Climatological
Drought, wildfires
Forest fires, land fires –bush, Fire whirls
brush and pasture
Derechos, hailstorms,
thunderstorms, rainstorms, tornadoes,
winter storms, dust
storms, storm surges,
haze, gales
* This taxonomy is adapted from the classification system developed by the international disaster database (EM-DAT)
maintained by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) in Belgium.
106
GRID
2017
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