source. That decision may vary from year to year
depending on objective criteria, such as their
geographical and temporal coverage, or their
perceived reliability (see below). We may equally
aggregate different data from separate sources
to help us extend the geographical coverage of
our estimates. As such, our figures are more likely
to take into account and reflect both qualitative
and quantitative uncertainties.
In many countries affected by conflict and
violence, no agencies or mechanisms collect data
on the number and kind of people who have
sought refuge in urban areas, those who are
hosted by relatives or other families or those who
have fled to remote areas. This leads to significant
underestimates of the number of IDPs.
Data on returns varies significantly from context
to context. Sometimes data on returnees is
collected after people have returned to their area
of origin or place of habitual residence. At other
times, our sources use “returns” or “returnees”
to indicate that people have departed a location
such as a displacement camp with the intention of returning – but with no further information about their location or well-being. In
some cases, these returnees may have moved
to another camp or become displaced elsewhere,
in which case they continue to be counted as
displaced. In order to be consistent across all
contexts, we subtract returnees from our stock
figures. That said, this is a strictly accounting rule
and it does not mean that these returnees have
reached a durable solution. In order to make that
assessment, more follow-up data on returnees
is needed.
Selection of countries
in the GRID dataset on
displacement by conflict and
violence
The 2017 GRID dataset contains information
on 56 countries and territories. The inclusion of
a country is not contingent on a quantitative
threshold for the number of IDPs. It depends only
on the availability of credible data. The fact that
a country is not included does not necessarily
imply that no displacement has taken place, but
rather that no information has been forthcoming,
or that the displacement is not caused by conflict
or violence.
104
GRID
2017
Our 2017 GRID estimates include a number of
changes from last year’s report. They are the result
of issues related to the systematic and consistent
application of decision rules to all displacement
situations, our analysis of the primary causes of
displacement, and geopolitical considerations
that affect the definition of international borders
that are essential to determine whether someone
is an IDP, a refugee or stateless. The border issues
cover foreign occupation, the creation of new
states and unilateral secession.
Geopolitical parameters
We collect and presents data on IDPs for UN
members states and other self-governing territories, those with unsettled sovereignty such as the
Abyei area, and others with special status such
as Palestine and Kosovo. People displaced within
areas of an internationally recognised state under
foreign occupation are considered IDPs, irrespective of their location with respect to the de facto
borders or the territorial claims of the occupying
power, providing the original borders still have
broad international recognition. Examples are
eastern Ukraine, Crimea, South Ossetia and the
Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus.
The inclusion of such countries and other
contested territories does not imply any political
endorsement or otherwise on IDMC’s part.
a. Foreign occupation
We consider people displaced within an internationally recognised state under foreign occupation as IDPs, irrespective of their location with
respect to the de facto borders or the territorial
claims of the occupying power, providing the
original borders still have broad international
recognition.
As such, our estimate of the number of IDPs
in Cyprus does not only include Greek Cypriots
who moved to the southern part of the island at
the time of Turkey’s invasion in 1974, as was the
case in the past. It also incorporates estimates
for Turkish Cypriots who moved from southern
to northern Cyprus at the time. This interpretation and accounting is consistent with the
methodology we have used for other occupied
areas, such as Crimea and other parts of eastern
Ukraine.
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