PART 2
Off The Grid: Are today’s IDPs
tomorrow’s refugees and migrants? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
|| Key findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
|| Internal to cross-border displacement: A scant evidence base . . . . . . . . . 51
|| Unrecognised and unrecorded: Cross-border displacement by disasters . . . . . . 53
|| Common patterns and trajectories: IDPs crossing borders. . . . . . . . . . . 55
|| South Sudan: A revolving door of displacement. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
|| Same risks, different destinations: Push and pull factors . . . . . . . . . . . 59
|| Returning refugees and migrants: Tomorrow’s IDPs? . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
|| Afghanistan: Cross-border return to internal displacement. . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
|| Somalia: Returning ‘home’ from Dadaab camp . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
|| Building the evidence base: A prerequisite for action . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
Part 3
Inside the GRID: Overcoming data shortfalls . . . . . . 69
|| Key findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
|| Internal displacement data: An incomplete picture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
Limits in geographical coverage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
Not all causes of internal displacement are included in the global baseline . . . . . 72
Incomplete data on the start, dynamics and duration of displacement . . . . . . . 72
Difficulties detecting repeated, secondary and onward movements . . . . . . . . . 73
Limited disaggregated data on IDPs’ profile and location . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
74
|| Understanding the limitations: Sources of uncertainty. . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
Why more investment is needed in monitoring over time. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
Outdated information on certain conflict caseloads . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
Disasters: difficulties understanding displacement patterns over time. . . . . . . . 79
|| Painting a fuller picture: Innovative solutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
|| #IDETECT. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84
|| Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
|| Notes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88
|| Methodological annex . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 94
|| Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Table 1: New displacements by country for disasters and conflict and
total number of IDPs for conflict and violence. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .113
Table 2: Largest disaster-related displacement events of 2016 . . . . . . . . . . . .117
Table 3: Conflict-related displacement in 2016. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .118
Global report on internal displacement 2017
3