Figure 1.12: Number of people internally displaced by conflict and violence as of the end of 2016, by region and income group
Source: IDMC, with World Bank data
Inconsistent monitoring
Beside the reality that more people are becoming
internally displaced each year and remaining so
for long periods of time, the generally upward
trend in the total number of IDPs is also at least
partly explained by inconsistent monitoring and
accounting for caseloads over time. The tracking
of IDPs’ trajectories and vulnerabilities tends to
trail off after an initial period, because humanitarians, national governments and civil society lose
or divert the resources, and often the interest, to
continue monitoring and counting them. The lack
of regular and updated information precludes us
from measuring IDPs’ progress toward sustainable solutions, and continues to swell the global
figures each year (see part 3).
Perhaps the most visible example of how an
overly broad counting method can lead to everincreasing figures is the case of Colombia. With
more than 7.2 million IDPs as of the end of
2016, it hosts the highest number worldwide
– more than in Afghanistan, Nigeria and South
Sudan combined and surpassing Syria by a wide
margin (see figure 1.11). As the country emerges
from more than five decades of armed conflict,
Colombia serves as a crucial litmus test for the
new approach to protracted displacement called
for at the World Humanitarian Summit (see spotlight, p.29).63
28
GRID
2017
The country’s registry for IDPs, part of the
national victims’ registry administered by the
government’s victims unit, is primarily intended
as a tool to facilitate the provision of reparations,
in accordance with law 1448 of 2011. Widely
known as the victims’ law, it establishes that a
person only loses their recognition if they provide
fraudulent information during their registration
process. Victims are meant to be recognised as
such forever, in some ways symbolically, but
also to ensure continued access to assistance
and reparations.
In other words, the number of IDPs in the
country never decreases. Even if IDPs are able to
progressively reduce the vulnerability, impoverishment and marginalisation they face, there is no
system in place to monitor their progress toward
achieving durable solutions. Anecdotal evidence,
meantime, suggests that large numbers have
resettled in urban areas and live in conditions
comparable with those of their host communities.
Until there is a monitoring system in place that
determines if and when IDPs have achieved
durable solutions, their number will continue
to increase. Should Colombia’s definition and
approach be applied to the victims of conflict in
other countries with persistently high numbers of
IDPs, such as DRC, Iraq, Nigeria, Syria or Ukraine,
one can only imagine the ever-growing global
total reported annually and the repercussions for
planning and prioritising responses.