Rising Statelessness Due to Disappearing Island States
political interest to uphold continuing statehood of disappearing island states will
prevail over the lack of ‘factual’ statehood.
However, the question of how effectively a government acting from foreign
territory is able to protect its citizens remains uncertain. Even if the international
community could agree on the continuity of disappearing island states as legal
entities, 116 the externally displaced population would struggle to enjoy protection
from a government forced to act in exile without territory; a situation, which
according to UNHCR, would most likely amount to de facto statelessness. 117
To conclude, the discussion regarding the continuance of statehood of
disappearing island states is far from being uniformly acknowledged. Even the
ILA Sea Level Rise Committee considered the question of continuing statehood
of such ‘great sensitivity’ that it refrained from discussing it in more detail in its
Sydney Conference: Final Report 2018. 118 Instead, the ILA Sea Level Rise
Committee evaluated that it would be useful to continue its work on the issue of
statehood after the end of its current mandate. 119 Unfortunately, it also did not
touch upon the issues of nationality and statelessness in its report. 120 The legal
status of a submerged state and its population still remains unresolved. 121
Note that we have not argued that in fact states will not continue to recognize
submerged island nations as states. We have argued that the principle of presumption
of continuity does not necessarily recommend that they do so, and we have argued that
even if it did, it would not follow that these submerged entities really were states, any
more than a boiled egg would be a state if recognized by the community of nations to
be.
116
117
118
119
120
Stoutenburg (n 11) 405.
Climate Change and Statelessness (n 82) 2. See also Stoutenburg (n 11) 427.
Sydney Conference Final Report (n 104) 25–26.
ibid.
Ibid. However, the Committee’s mandate also includes to
develop proposals for the progressive development of international law in relation to
the possible loss of all or of parts of state territory and maritime zones due to sea level
rise, including the impacts on statehood, nationality, and human rights.
at 1.
121 See also Stoutenburg (n 11) 404. Some commentators have argued that former islanders will
become de jure stateless even if the international community continues to recognise statehood
of disappearing island states. They base their arguments on the premise that non-territorial
states cannot comply with their duty to readmit nationals if other states request it; thus, they
lose their ability to confer nationality under the operation of their law. This allegedly flows
from the basic concept that a state cannot assume a duty (here: the international obligation to
readmit nationals) if it cannot discharge it. For further details on this obligation, see also Kay
Hailbronner, ‘Readmission Agreements and the Obligation on States under Public
International Law to Readmit their Own and Foreign Nationals’ (1997) 57(1) Heidelberg
Journal of International Law 1. Regarding that argument, see Heather Alexander and
Jonathan Simon, ‘No Port, No Passport: Why Submerged States Can Have No Nationals’
(2017) 26(2) Washington International Law Journal 307. In the author’s opinion, this seems
a rather unconvincing argument. Under international law, the consequence of a state’s
‘factual’ inability to comply with its obligation to readmit nationals cannot result in the loss
of its sovereign right to confer nationality. In general, the violation of an international
obligation towards another state must lead to state responsibility, if no circumstances
precluding wrongfulness apply. Disappearing island states could, for example, try to argue
force majeure (art 23 ILC Articles on State Responsibility (n 110)); that is the occurrence of
an irresistible force, beyond the control of the state, making it materially impossible in the
circumstances to readmit nationals to the state. The state as such, however, exists further and
may, under the operation of its law, confer, regulate and withdraw nationality (in the limits of
international law as elaborated further above).
57