2.4. Notes regarding estimates of Palestinian refugees
and IDPs (see Table 2.1)
2.4.1. UNRWA Registered 1948 Refugees
UNRWA reported 5,807,653 registered refugees as of 31 December 2021; these figures
are based on data voluntarily supplied by those registered refugees. UNRWA registration
statistics do not claim to be, and should not be, taken as statistically sound or comprehensive
demographic data. This information is collected by UNRWA for its own internal management
purposes, and to facilitate certification of refugee eligibility to receive education, health, and
relief and social services. New information on births, marriages, deaths, and changes in place
of residence is recorded only when a refugee requests the updating of the family registration
card issued by the Agency. UNRWA does not carry out a census, house-to-house survey, or
any other means of verifying place of residence or other statistical data. Refugees will normally
report births, deaths, and marriages when they seek a service from the Agency. Births, for
instance, are reported if the family makes use of UNRWA maternity and child health services,
or when the child reaches school age if admission is sought to an UNRWA school, or even
later if neither of these services are needed. Deaths tend to remain under-reported. While
families are encouraged to have a separate registration card for each nuclear family (parents
and children), this is not obligatory. Information on family size may therefore include a mix
of nuclear and extended families, and in some cases may include as many as four generations.
2.4.2. Non-registered 1948 Refugees
The calculation of 1,220,018 persons as 1948 non-registered refugees at end of 2021 is based
on the assumption that, “UNRWA registered refugees represent approximately three-quarters
of Palestinian refugees worldwide.”306 This assumption was applied to the calculation for
the three regions: Syria, Lebanon and Jordan. As for the oPt, the results of the 2007 PCBS
censuses revealed that non-registered 1948 refugees represent 1.43 percent of the total
Palestinian population in the oPt. With regards to the growth rate, it was 2.86 percent for
2007, 2.87 percent for 2008, 2.88 percent for the years 2009-2014, 2.9 percent for 2015-2016,
2.5 percent for 2017-2020, and 2.4 percent in 2021. 307
Alternative estimates: Based on The Palestinian Nakba 1948: The Register of Depopulated Localities
in Palestine, London, issued by the Palestinian Return Center in 1998, non-registered refugees
compose roughly 27.1 percent of registered refugees.308 This would result in a total of
1,573,850, which is higher than the above estimated figure.
306
UNRWA, ‘Refugee Statistics 1953-2000’ (Palestine Remembered, 2000) <http://www.palestineremembered.com/
download/RefugeesStats.pdf> accessed 3 October 2022.
307
PCBS, Statistical Yearbook 2021 (n 216).
308
Salman Abu Sitta, The Palestinian Nakba 1948: The Register of Depopulated Localities in Palestine (Palestinian Return Centre
(PRC) 1998).
64
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