58
M. Wilhelm
challenges involved when registering the ECI or its online collection system
for signatures. Additionally, an ECI has a high legal uncertainty concerning
its content (admissibility) and a small probability of turning into legislation.
(However, its potential for indirect impact through the creation of a European
public debate should not be underestimated and is perhaps the true value of
the ECI.) The proposed ECI demanding national voting rights for mobile
EU citizens is especially challenging.
Authors in this forum have already discussed the ECI’s legal uncertainty;
whether or not the ECI on residential voting rights will be accepted by the
European Commission for further procedure; and the possibility of its legal
implementation (unanimity in the council). Another challenge is this one:
Statistically speaking, every twelfth citizen who would benefit from the ECI
would need to sign it. More dramatically, every single second country
national in Romania would need to sign it, if Romania were to be one of the
seven countries (one million signatures, minimum seven countries, variable
minimum of signatures per country). Hence, the ECI would already fail to
collect one million signatures if it only addressed the mobile elite. The initiators and we as NGOs need to address the public at large and construct an
ECI narrative that concerns all European citizens in three ways. First,
because voting rights are not as mobilising as genetically modified food or
nuclear power, the ECI narrative needs to go beyond the mere possibility of
casting a vote in national elections. It needs to convey the European vision
and state why this ECI can effectively realise the vision. Second, the narrative needs to include positive spill-over effects for third-country nationals to
counter the argument that this ECI would further discriminate non-EU citizens and enlarge the emotional and legal gap between them and EU nationals. The case has already been made that the ECI proposed by Catriona Seth
and Philippe Cayla would affect a rather small number of citizens compared
to the many millions of third-country nationals deprived of many more, and
in some member states all, political rights. Third, the ECI narrative needs to
be designed in a way that does not trigger nationalistic or anti-EU resentments based on fears of loss of political control at the domestic level. It
needs to address the ECI’s importance for the future of the EU and at the
same time emphasise its marginal impact on domestic politics (for
Luxembourg, with 37 per cent second-country nationals, this would of
course be difficult). These are pretty tough conditions.
Besides public support, political support is crucial, especially among
national parliamentarians, as they are ultimately affected. Strategically
speaking, one could sketch out which candidates and parties are most likely
to benefit from the new constituency and win their support by relying on
Select target paragraph3
Connect to a paragraph
Connect to an entity
Disable highlights
Add to table of contents