YALE HUMAN RIGHTS & DEVELOPMENT L.J.
2017]
The Risk of Statelessness
VOL. XIX
93
protection to “stateless persons.” At the same time, the Court’s decision
points to an area of the law of statelessness where there is significant room
for interpretation, namely in the statelessness determination procedure
itself. The UNHCR has issued guidelines for such determinations, and a
number of states have begun to implement statelessness determination
procedures at the national level. The UNHCR’s Handbook on the Protection of
Stateless Persons provides guidance on evidentiary considerations and
suggests that the appropriate standard of proof for demonstrating that a
person is stateless is a “reasonable degree” of certainty, as opposed to
absolute certainty. This standard for demonstrating that a person is
stateless for purposes of international law protection is still open to
interpretation, and this is where the Inter-American Court should focus in
order to advance its concern for those at risk of statelessness. It should do
so by retaining well-understood rules of statelessness protection, and
developing transparent and well-reasoned standards for protection.
A “reasonable degree” of certainty in the context of statelessness
protection means that a person would be more likely than not stateless if
she were left unprotected. This standard is drawn from the fundamental
nature of the right to nationality, and the fact that a person has nationality
or is stateless, and there is no status in between. Because everyone must
have a nationality, the likelihood of statelessness should never be permitted
to exceed the likelihood that one is a national. Accordingly, one should be a
“stateless person” under international law if it is more likely than not that
she will not be considered a national under the operation of the laws of any
country.
Like all such standards, there are many evidentiary questions that must
be resolved and much room for judicial interpretation. Such is the work
that lies ahead for the international community and domestic jurisdictions
around the globe. The Inter-American Court, however, did not engage with
these pressing questions in its decision in Expelled Dominicans and Haitians.
Rather, the Court declared that the state had the burden to demonstrate
that Dominican-born persons of Haitian descent could derive Haitian
nationality, and when the state did not resolve the Court’s concerns about
the risk of statelessness, it extended the protection of the international law
of statelessness. Presumably, some large segment of Dominican-born
persons of Haitian descent are covered by this ruling of the Inter-American
Court, but the regional community has no way of knowing who these
individuals are, or what the limits of this protection might be.
The need for clarity in this area is evident in the Dominican Republic
and beyond. Inhabitants of the island of Hispaniola continue to reel from
the latest decision of the Dominican Constitutional Court to reinterpret its
Constitution and remove the basis for nationality of more than 130,000
people. Legislation that restored nationality for some, and opened a
temporary path to naturalization for others, still left tens of thousands of
people without Dominican nationality and at risk of statelessness.291 If the
291. See SAIS Int’l Human Rights Clinic, supra note 142, at 35; see also Ley No. 169-14 que
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3111529
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