Sea Level Rise and Climate Statelessness
As is often the case, this is also a matter of interpretation. Past examples of
governments in exile have been characterised as setting a precedent for continued
statehood despite the lack of a territory and population. 60 However, this overlooks
the exiled nature of a government in exile: the Dutch government in exile in
London during the Second World War did not claim to exist in abstraction from
its occupied territory and population, but rather on their behalf.61 There can be no
government without a state.62 Furthermore, governments in exile are established
and recognised based on the illegality of the occupation they are a victim of;63
their existence can thus be construed as a corollary of a breach of a jus cogens
norm, where accepting the extinction of the illegally invaded state would give
legal value to an illegal act.64 As a result, framing state practice on the matter as a
precedent for the assertion that a lack of territory or population does not affect
statehood does not accurately reflect the reality and legal foundations of the
existence of governments in exile. Consequently, while the ineffectiveness or
absence of a government has been shown not to affect the statehood of an existing
state in state practice, it seems a stretch to argue that a government could exist as
a state without a territory and a population, particularly in the absence of clear
state practice to suggest so.65
The fact that the definition of statehood found in the Montevideo Convention
fails at providing a useful tool to clarify limit cases does not automatically mean
that it can be dismissed as a whole. Instead, a closer look at the threshold it sets,
in light of its application in state practice, highlights the potential problems it
might present to a LLIS attempting to claim deterritorialised statehood.
Another argument that is commonly used to attempt to dissipate the uncertainty
around the possibility of continued, deterritorialised statehood is the existence of
a strong presumption of continuity. As discussed in Part III(A), this presumption
is interpreted to act as a sort of ‘ratchet’, preventing existing states from going
extinct once they have been created. A closer examination of the principle reveals
that its scope could stop short of overriding the legal consequences of the
disappearance of a LLIS’s physical indicia.66 Indeed, rather than being concerned
mainly with status (ie statehood), as assumed by those who frame the presumption
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
Burkett (n 24) 356; Ross, ‘Low-Lying States’ (n 21) 151–53; McAdam, ‘Boundaries’ (n 24)
9.
Stoutenburg (n 6) 285.
Stefan Talmon, ‘Who Is a Legitimate Government in Exile? Towards Normative Criteria for
Governmental Legitimacy in International Law’ in Stefan Talmon and Guy S Goodwin-Gill
(eds), The Reality of International Law: Essays in Honour of Ian Brownlie (Oxford University
Press 1999) 499, 501.
Stefan Talmon, Recognition of Governments in International Law: With Particular Reference
to Governments in Exile (Clarendon Press Oxford 1998) 219.
The existence and recognition of a government in exile as a result of an illegal invasion can
be explained as the principle of ex injuria non oritur (‘illegal acts do not create law’)
overriding its alternative principle of ex factis jus oritur (‘facts create law’). This approach
was adopted by the United States in relation the Baltic states: see, eg, Ineta Ziemele, State
Continuity and Nationality: The Baltic States and Russia (Martinus Nijhoff Publishers 2005)
27–28; Krystyna Marek, Identity and Continuity of States in Public International Law
(Librairie E Droz 1954) 399.
Bilkova emphasises this point, noting that claiming that the relevance of territory has changed
is ‘not the same as demonstrating that territory has lost all its relevance’: Veronika Bilkova,
‘A State Without Territory?’ in Martin Kujier and Wouter Werner (eds), Netherlands
Yearbook of International Law 2016 (Springer 2017) 19, 38.
This is mentioned or hinted at by a few authors: see Alexander and Simon, ‘Sinking into
Statelessness’ (n 17) 25; Davor Vidas, ‘Sea-Level Rise and International Law: At the
Convergence of Two Epochs’ (2014) 4(1–2) Climate Law 70, 82; Bilkova (n 65) 38.
299