2019
Statelessness & Citizenship Review
1(1)
to the extinction of the state. 89 Considering a case where the whole territory of a
state is submerged due to sea level rise, and thus the whole population and the
government is displaced, the continuance of statehood in application of those
criteria becomes highly questionable.
First, in our discussion on statehood we already start from the premise that a
state’s territory will vanish under rising sea levels. Thus, criteria b) — one of a
defined territory — will undoubtedly be lacking. Although international law has
not been faced with the total and irreversible loss of territory yet, some scholars
have already considered it as a possible ground for the extinction of a state. 90
While there is no number or percentage which must be met in order to satisfy the
criterion of permanent population, 91 statehood must at least require a small
number of inhabitants. 92 The described scenario of total disappearance with no
possibility for inhabitants to live on the territory, however, would be of such
gravity to reasonably negate the fulfilment of continuing statehood.
Regarding criteria c) it is important to highlight that international law presumes
a state’s continued existence despite a period without an effective government (eg
failed states). 93 There have been many instances in history where recognised
governments were able to operate temporarily in exile on the territory of other
states while suffering occupation. 94 Governments in exile, however, may only
establish its seat in a host state if they have the consent of the latter to exercise
jurisdiction in the host state’s territory. 95 Additionally, it should be noted that
examples of state practice so far pertain to circumstances in which regaining the
lost government, territory and population appeared somewhat likely in a
foreseeable future. 96 That is not the case with regard to disappearing island states,
due to the permanence of the status quo. After a nation is fully submerged, neither
the government nor the displaced island population would be able to return to the
sunken territory. Thus, where governments would be forced to perform
permanently in exile due to the loss of territory, it seems at least questionable
whether a state would host a foreign state under such circumstances, and thus in
effect consent to the establishment of parallel state or state-like structures on its
territory. Moreover, states are more inclined to permit governments on their
territory if their performance in exile ‘results from acts contrary to a peremptory
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92
93
94
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96
Crawford, Brownlie’s Principles of Public International Law (n 86) 128; McAdam, Climate
Change, Forced Migration (n 29) 128–29.
See, eg, Malcolm N Shaw (n 50) 164; Rosemary Rayfuse, ‘International Law and
Disappearing States — Maritime Zones and the Criteria for Statehood’ (2011) 41(6)
Environmental Policy and Law 281, 284.
There are some Pacific countries that have a large number or even half of their population
living outside the territory: McAdam, Climate Change, Forced Migration (n 29) 131–32.
This, however, does not lead to a state’s extinction.
Crawford, Brownlie’s Principles of Public International Law (n 86) 129. Then again, Shaw
suggests that not even a nomadic population would satisfy the requirements of territorial
integrity: Shaw (n 50) 158.
Crawford, The Creation of States in International Law (n 81) 34; Shaw (n 50) 160; McAdam,
Climate Change, Forced Migration (n 29) 135.
Eg, governments in exile of German-occupied States during the Second World War. For more
details in this regard, see generally Stefan Talmon, Recognition of Governments in
International Law: With Particular Reference to Governments in Exile (Clarendon 1998).
ibid, 215–18. This flows from the principle of territorial sovereignty.
See also McAdam, Climate Change, Forced Migration (n 29) 136: ‘The government in exile
idea is premised on there still being an identifiable population over which the government has
jurisdiction’.
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