Technical annex
Data sources
Calculation of current global figures
UNICEF global databases include birth registration
estimates for 174 countries, primarily drawn from nationally
representative household surveys such as the Multiple
Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) and Demographic and
Health Surveys (DHS). Other data sources in the global
database include other national surveys, censuses and vital
statistics from civil registration systems. Of the 174 countries
with data, 163 have estimates that are recent enough (2010
to 2018) to be included in the calculation of current global
and regional levels. (For a summary of data availability by
region and by indicator, see table below). Maps only include
the latest available data point for each country between 2010
and 2018.
Global estimates of birth registration for children under age
5 and under age 1 are calculated based on the following:
(1) latest available data for each country, within the period
2010 to 2018, (2) estimated coverage of birth registration
for 30 countries in Western Europe, 2 in North America
and an additional 24 countries with no comparable data
in the UNICEF global database made on the basis of the
information obtained from UNSD on estimated coverage of
birth registration within national civil registration systems,
and (3) proxy indicator of hukou registration for China.
For countries without an available data source, information
on the estimated coverage of birth registration within
national civil registration systems was obtained from the
United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD). This was the case
for 30 countries in Western Europe and 2 in North America
as well as an additional 24 countries in other regions.
Several sources are used by UNSD to obtain coverage of
birth and death registration for more than 230 countries and
areas. The primary source is the ‘Quality of vital statistics
obtained from civil registration’ page on the United Nations
Demographic Yearbook Vital Statistics Questionnaire
completed by national statistical offices. Other sources
include UNSD workshops that have been conducted in the
past, when coverage information was obtained from country
representative(s) either from the national statistical office
or the civil registration authority. For more information, visit
<unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/crvs/#coverage>.
For China, internationally comparable and nationally
representative data on birth registration prevalence have
not been available historically. However, data are available
for a related indicator on registration of children’s permanent
residence, known as ‘hukou’, by the household registration
department. Hukou registration is the only indication that
birth registration has been carried out and completed, and
hukou registration is one of the most important components
of the household management system in China. The latest
available data on children’s hukou registration were obtained
from the National Population Sample Survey (also referred to
as a ‘mini-census’) conducted in 2015 by the National Bureau
of Statistics of China.
Demographic data are from the United Nations, Department
of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, World
Population Prospects 2019, Online edition, Revision 1.
36
Birth Registration for Every Child by 2030: Are we on track?
Global estimates of possession of a birth certificate for
children under age 5 and under age 1 are calculated based
on the following: (1) latest available data for each country,
within the period 2010 to 2018, and (2) for the 30 countries in
Western Europe and 2 in North America, an assumption was
made that all children have birth certificates on the basis of
the information obtained from UNSD on estimated coverage
of birth registration within national civil registration systems.
For this set of estimates, no additional assumptions are made
for other countries on possession of a birth certificate.
Global figures are calculated as a population-weighted
average of the prevalence of birth registration in each of
the regions used for UNICEF global reporting (see page
40). The prevalence of birth registration (or certification) is
subtracted from 100 to obtain the prevalence of children
without birth registration (or without a birth certificate).
Absolute numbers of unregistered children are calculated
by applying the resulting prevalence of children without birth
registration (or without a birth certificate) to the respective
child population (either those under age 5 or under age 1).
Calculation of current regional figures
Each regional prevalence is calculated as a populationweighted average of the national values. In using this method,
the prevalence in countries without data is implicitly assumed
to be the same as the population-weighted average of other
countries in the same region. Regional estimates are presented
according to the regional classification used for UNICEF global
reporting. Regional estimates are presented even when the
population coverage falls below the standard threshold of 50
per cent, but are noted accordingly throughout the report.
The same set of methods and assumptions as those
outlined above for calculation of global figures of overall birth
registration and possession of a birth certificate applies to
the calculation of regional figures.
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