#1 children, 25 and at least one British woman.26 This list is most likely incomplete, however, given the fuzzy situation on the ground and the fact that not even Kurdish forces or Western intelligence services seem to have a full picture. Next to the security conditions in the Kurdish camps and prisons, the humanitarian situation too has worsened. Hot summers and cold winters have continued to take a toll on a vulnerable population, suffering from malnutrition and poor sanitary conditions. In this context, some children have been reported deceased, including a few Europeans. Conditions were already dire before the Turkish offensive, but they further deteriorated, not least as a result of decreasing Kurdish staff available in the camps. In al-Hol, for instance, humanitarian access to the “annex” for foreign women and children has become extremely difficult, with a clear impact on that population in terms of medical support or schooling, notably.27 The COVID19 pandemic has only worsened the situation: in addition to the risk of infection within prisons and camps (only a few cases have been reported so far), the crisis has hampered the capacity of humanitarian actors to travel to the area and conduct their mission. There are also concerns that measures to prevent the spreading of COVID19, such as less physical contacts between guards and prisoners, might facilitate informal power grab by ISIS-linked groups and exacerbate a permissive environment for criminal activities in the camps, including those aiming at planning exfiltrations.28 In total, according to our count, more than 53 European women with an even higher number of children would have managed to vanish from the camps of al-Hol and Ain Issa since October 2019. The whereabouts of some of them are unknown. Most allegedly travelled to Idlib province, in northwest Syria.29 While some of them may have re-joined a jihadi group still active in that region, others have reached Turkey clandestinely, or Turkish-controlled territories in Syria, from where they could be deported to their countries of origin, particularly since Turkey’s Interior Minister declared in November 2019 that his country was “not a hotel for foreign terrorists” and pledged to accelerate the deportation of European foreign fighters.30 Since October 2019, at least four European men as well as 73 women and children were deported back to their countries of citizenship by the Turkish authorities, but possibly more as there is no official figure available (Finland:1531, Germany:2032, UK:133, Netherlands:734, France:1335, Sweden:136, Denmark:137, Belgium:1938). Many of them were escapees from Ain Issa and al-Hol, but not all. Some had been unaccounted for until they managed to exfiltrate themselves into Turkey, whereas others had been in Turkish custody for some time already. Only in very exceptional circumstances have European governments proactively repatriated European citizens directly from Syria. These repatriations concerned almost exclusively (unaccompanied) children or children in very dire health conditions. Since October 2019, European governments have brought home 29 children from Syria, mostly from al-Hol (Finland:239, Germany:740, UK:441, Italy:442, France:1143, Denmark:144), whereas Germany and Italy both repatriated a mother along with their kids, which is highly exceptional given European governments’ reluctance to see ISIS members return (see below). Prior to the Turkish offensive, 34 European children had already been repatriated in 2019 (Austria:245, Netherlands:246, France:1747, Sweden:748, Belgium:649), whereas Italy is the only European country to have repatriated a male fighter, Samir Bougana,50 in June 2019. EGMONT Royal Institute for International Relations 3

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