12
ACQUISITION OF CITIZENSHIP CERTIFICATE IN NEPAL
ESTIMATION AND PROJECTION
PROJECTION OF PEOPLE WITHOUT CITIZENSHIP
CERTIFICATE IN THE UPCOMING 7 YEARS
No. of citizenship certificates distributed through regular process
442,920
685,225
2014
2011
2013
2012
523,336*
220,036
467,887.
Projection of Annual Increase of People Without Citizenship Certificates
For the purpose of projection, the average citizenship certificate distributed for a year is
Projected Eligible Population
Projected Population with
citizenship certificate
Projected Eligible population
without citizenship certificate
2015
727,203
467,887
259,317
2016
763,901
467,887
296,014
2017
693,123
467,887
225,236
2018
730,101
467,887
262,214
2019
770,028
467,887
302,141
2020
813,177
467,887
345,290
2021
859,846
467,887
391,959
Projection of Cumulative Population Without Citizenship Certificates in the Upcoming 7 Years
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
*
4.9
million
5.2
million
5.4
23.26 %
23.80 %
24.06 %
million
5.7
24.43 %
million
6.0
24.90%
million
6.3
6.7
25.47%
million
26.14%
million
In the year 2013, 1,126,430 people received citizenship certificates. Out of them, 603,094 people received citizenship certificates through
integrated mobile camps and citizenship certificate distribution teams in addition to the regular process, where 523,336 citizenship
certificates were distributed. Citizenship certificates distributed through the regular process was only used to calculate the average
citizenship certificate distribution per year for the latter years.