Three years on, internally
displaced people remain
at the UN Protection
of Civilians site in Juba,
South Sudan. Photo: NRC/
Albert Gonzalez Farran,
November 2016
groups and bandits. Such attacks have disrupted
commercial traffic and humanitarian access in the
south of the country significantly.
OCHA estimates that 7.5 million people in
South Sudan will require assistance in 2017, and
the humanitarian community faces extraordinary challenges to reach them before the rainy
season begins in May and populations become
cut off.205 Armed groups tend to step up their
activity before the rainy season, looking to make
territorial gains before it sets in and vast swaths
of the country become inaccessible by road for
up to six months.
The flow of people out of South Sudan, including
those already internally displaced, is likely to
continue and may increase in 2017 unless at
least some of these issues are addressed. At the
same time, there are concerns that some of the
most vulnerable groups such elderly and disabled people and those with no material assets are
unable to make the journey across the border or
access the assistance they need inside the country.
Others have returned from Uganda because the
significant devaluation of South Sudan’s currency
has reduced their assets and the value of their
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remittances to the point that their situation was
no longer sustainable. Others still have gone back
to reunite with family members or for security
reasons.
South Sudan also hosts almost 300,000 refugees
from neighbouring countries. Ninety per cent live
in the northern states of Upper Nile and Unity,
which continue to be two of the worst affected by
conflict and displacement. The vast majority of the
refugees, 92 per cent, are from Sudan, and the
remainder from CAR, DRC and Ethiopia. In June
2016, assistance was provided to Ethiopian refugees in Jonglei state for the first time since 2009.
As the conflict escalates and spreads South Sudan
continues plummeting to new depths of violence,
displacement and food insecurity, and people are
likely to resort to ever more desperate measures
to seek safety and assistance. Increasing numbers
are continuously on the move, and their high
degree of mobility combined with the lack of
humanitarian access make their situation difficult
to monitor. It is clear, however, that the country’s borders have become a revolving door of
displacement.