2.4.3. Estimates of the 1948 Palestinian Refugee Population 2.4.4. Estimates of the 1967 Palestinian Refugee Population The total number of 1967 refugees is estimated at 1,331,311 by the end of 2021. This was calculated by a projection of 240,000 Palestinians who were displaced for the first time in 1967. Using this 240,000-person projection as a starting point, the calculations are based on a growth rate of 3.5 percent until 1999, 3.0 percent during 2000-2006, 2.86 percent for 2007, 2.87 percent for 2008, 2.88 percent between the years 2009-2014, 2.9 for 2015-2016, 2.5 for 2017-2020, and 2.4 percent for 2021.309 This figure includes only persons who were externally displaced for the first time in 1967 (240,000). It does not include internally displaced persons or 1948 refugees displaced for a second time in 1967.310 Approximately 193,500 Palestinian refugees were displaced for a second time as a result of Israel’s 1967 phase of occupation, while 240,000 non-refugees were displaced for the first time, bringing the total of forcibly displaced persons for this period to more than 430,000. This figure also excludes those refugees who returned under a limited repatriation program between August and September 1967. The figure also does not account for Palestinians who were abroad at the time of the 1967 War and were subsequently unable to return, refugees reunified with family inside the oPt, nor those refugees who returned after 1994 as part of agreements formed under the Oslo peace process. 2.4.5. Palestinian IDPs in 1948 Palestine It is estimated that there are approximately 439,171 Palestinians who have been internally displaced and remained inside 1948 Palestine since 1948, and their descendants. According to, and as stated by the National Committee for the Rights of the Internally Displaced in Israel: “[O]f the estimated 150,000 Palestinians who remained in Israel proper when the 309 310 UNGA Res 2252 (ES-V) (n 205). Takkenberg (n 58), 17. 65 Chapter Alternative estimates: The Palestinian Nakba 1948: The Register of Depopulated Localities in Palestine, London - issued by the Palestinian Return Center in 1998 - assumes an average annual growth rate of 3.5 percent for the Palestinian refugee population, based on demographic data collated by British authorities in 1947. Accordingly, the total number of estimated 1948 refugees at the end of 1998 was estimated at 4,942,121. If an adjusted annual growth of 2.5 percent is applied from 1999 onwards, giving proper consideration to the decline of the fertility rate and the annual growth rate, the total number of 1948 refugees (registered and non-registered) would amount to 8,720,920 by the end of 2021. 2 The total number of 1948 refugees is calculated by combining UNRWA-registered refugees and non-registered refugees as described above; this figure amounted to 7,027,671 at the end of 2021.