Schmid Comparative Migration Studies
(2020) 8:25
Page 16 of 20
Fig. 3 Aggregate trends in IRO and CRI 1980–2010. Lines represent the mean and standard deviation of
IRO and CRI, aggregated across 23 democracies from 1980 to 2010; reference lines indicate 1992 and 2001
to distinguish historical periods; IRO is based on selected policy components measuring the openness of
immigration regimes according to IMPIC (Helbling et al. 2017). CRI is composed of the policy components
of CITRIX (original dataset based on temporal expansion of selected items from MIPEX and based on the
data by Stadlmair (2017) and Fitzgerald et al. (2014) and DEMIG and GLOBALCIT) measuring the
inclusiveness of citizenship regimes
dimensions are uncorrelated. Solutions with non-orthogonal rotations show not only
the same pattern of two-dimensionality, but also confirm that the correlation between
IRO and CRI is low (PROMAX estimates a correlation of − 0.07; OBLIMIN estimates a
correlation of − 0.03). Using the IRO and CRI scales with (for IRO, transformed) arithmetic means is more adequate, because they are completely free of any assumptions
and, in addition, are not dependent on variable parameters that go into the estimation
of correlations between the dimensions when using PROMAX (I used the default
Kappa = 4) and OBLIMIN (I used the default Delta = 0).
Table 3 shows that there is a conditional cross-case correlation between IRO and
CRI: it increases over time. While there was virtually no correlation during the last decade of the Cold War, it increases to 0.18 during the 1990s, and to 0.36 after 9/11 (coefficients are Spearman’s rho because of the ordinal nature of the data). The overall
correlation is substantially low (0.19) but has a very low p-value. Though there is only a
Table 3 How IRO-CRI cross-sectional correlations increase over time
Historical Period
Pooled
Cold War
1992–2001
Post 9/11
rho
0.19
0.08
0.18
0.38
p-value
0.000
0.164
0.007
0.000
N
713
276
230
207
Entries are Spearman correlation coefficients and number of observations