THE RISK OF STATELESSNESS
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YALE HUMAN RIGHTS & DEVELOPMENT L.J.
2017
[Vol. 19
institutional uncertainty in applying rules of law, suggests that a
statelessness determination may not yield a clear response. However, the
fundamental nature of the right to nationality and the need for resolution of
such matters may require a determination of statelessness whether the
inquiry into statelessness gives a clear answer or not. In these
circumstances, the risk of statelessness might be so manifest as to require a
finding that a person is stateless for purposes of protection under
international law.
C. A Role for the Risk of Statelessness
As the previous section elaborated, there are at least two ways in which
a risk of statelessness might influence the outcome of a statelessness
determination at birth. First, when laws from multiple jurisdictions operate
at the moment of a child’s birth and questions arise as to the applicability of
related laws or regulations, the child may face a risk of statelessness.
Second, even if there is clarity about how each legal regime operates, wide
discretion afforded to the authorities competent to make a nationality
determination, or a record of arbitrary application of the law, may create a
risk of statelessness. Practically speaking, complex questions of fact and law
may be impossible to resolve in a timely manner when a child is born and
needs the security of a nationality. In complex cases where component
authorities are responsive and apply the law in a predictable manner, the
risk of statelessness may be negligible. In other cases, complexity combined
with unresponsive officials who apply murky rules of law inconsistently
may result in a high risk of statelessness. This final section argues that a
person who is more likely than not stateless should qualify as a “stateless
person” under international law.
The UNHCR has recognized that the importance of guaranteeing the
right of everyone to a nationality balanced against the difficulty of proving
nationality in some circumstances requires that the standard for
establishing statelessness be less than certainty. Specifically, the UNHCR
Statelessness Handbook provides that the standard of proof for a statelessness
determination is to establish to a “reasonable degree” that an individual
would be stateless.272 The UNHCR has further suggested that the
“reasonable degree” standard is the same standard that it utilizes in making
refugee status determinations.273 The UNHCR does not, however, explain
why the standard for a refugee status determination and a statelessness
determination should be the same.
There are a number of compelling reasons for applying a shared
standard. For example, the shared history of the protection regimes for
refugees and stateless persons supports the use of a common standard of
proof. Indeed, if the concern that prompted the two protection regimes was
272. See UNHCR Handbook on Protection of Stateless Persons, supra note 243, ¶ 91;
UNHCR Guidelines on Statelessness No. 4, supra note 84, ¶ 21.
273. UNHCR Handbook on Protection of Stateless Persons, supra note 243, ¶ 91 (2014).
Electronic copy available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3111529
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