Chapter 2
Figure 12 | Refugees, people in a refugee-like situation and other people in need of international
protection | 2015 - 2024 (end-year)
Refugees
People in a refugee-like situation
Other people in need of international protection
Number of people
30M
20M
10M
0M
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
Estimated demographic
composition of refugees
UNHCR compiles data annually on the combined sexand age-distribution of the populations that UNHCR
protects and/or assists. At end-2024, demographic
data by age and sex was available for 79 per cent of
refugees and people in a refugee-like situation and
disaggregation by sex only was available for a further
14 per cent. Coverage of demographic data by age
and sex for other people in need of international
protection has increased from 68 per cent in 2023 to
86 per cent, with sex-disaggregated data available for
a further one per cent of them.
To fill these data gaps, statistical modelling is applied
to impute the sex- and age-distribution of populations
with missing demographic data.130 For refugees,
people in a refugee-like situation and other people
in need of international protection, the estimated
percentage of refugee children is 41 per cent and
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
women and girls account for 50 per cent. Compared
to the previous year, these two proportions remain
similar despite changes in the number of refugees
from Afghanistan, Syria, Sudan and Ukraine.
To estimate the global number of children born
into refugee status, UNHCR calculated estimates
by imputing missing birth data for the years
between 2018 to 2024.131 Between 2018 and 2024,
approximately half of the data on how many children
were born into refugee status was missing in the
reported statistics. Using statistical modelling, UNHCR
estimates that more than 2.3 million children were
born as refugees between 2018 and 2024, equivalent
to some 337,800 children per year. In 32 countries
globally, the children of refugees born in the host
country have the right to attain the citizenship of
that country and are therefore not included in these
estimates.132 As this imputation is based on several
broad statistical assumptions, the results should be
considered as estimates and not precise figures.
130 These models are generated using the available demographic data for a country of origin as a starting point. Where data for a particular
country of asylum is missing, the values are estimated using statistical modelling from the available data for the same origin country in nearby
countries of asylum.
131 A key assumption in the estimates is that forced displacement is likely to impact the fertility pattern of refugees. Refugees face a situation
that is drastically different from that of people remaining in their country of origin and birth rates in the country of origin are not necessarily
indicative of refugee populations that have fled these same countries.
132 See the definition of jus soli in the UNHCR glossary.
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UNHCR > GLOBAL TRENDS 2024