T H E G L O B A L S TAT E O F C I T I Z E N S H I P
That said, the legal requirements tell only one half of the
story. Worldwide, over 90% of all ordinary naturalisation
procedures are discretionary, meaning that applicants who
meet all the legal requirements can still be rejected on various grounds. Only around 20 countries provide an entitlement to ordinary naturalisation in their laws. Research from
Europe finds that applicants face not only significant discretion, but also significant documentation, bureaucracy and
costs, all with limited state support, public information and
judicial review. Implementation is likely an even more important issue in lower-income or autocratic countries, with
greater gaps in the rule of law.
Bringing it all together
Overall, ordinary naturalisation policies are one of—if not
the strongest—factors shaping ordinary immigrants’ opportunity and propensity to become citizens of their new country, according to the many international studies linking naturalisation rates with policies. To illustrate this relationship,
we aggregate the indicators discussed above into an index of
citizenship law inclusiveness (using the aggregation formula
developed by Samuel D. Schmid, with higher scores indicating more inclusive laws) and compare the scores on this
index with citizenship acquisition rates among high-income
OECD destination countries.
The positive correlation between the inclusiveness of citizenship laws and acquisition rates indicates that, indeed,
immigrants are more likely to acquire the citizenship of their
country of residence under more facilitated institutional
conditions. The association is moderately strong (r = 0.39)
as, on average, countries need to move up 25 points on the
100-point inclusiveness scale to achieve an increase of one
percentage point in immigrants’ naturalisation rates. The
correlation cannot be perfect as naturalisation rates are also
influenced by demographic factors, such as the number of
recent immigrants who do not yet meet residence requirements, and origin country factors, including the level of development and citizenship policies of these states.
3.5 CITIZENSHIP ACQUISITION RATES BY REGIME INCLUSIVENESS
Each dot represents a score for citizenship acquisition rates and regime inclusiveness of a countr y in a year
Naturalisation rate (%)
9
Significant and moderately strong positive association | r = 0.39 (p <0.001)
6
3
0
20
40
Citizenship regime inclusiveness index
Source: GLOBALCIT Citizenship Law Dataset, v3, modes: A06_yrs, A06b-A06f
24
60
80